The numbers never lie:
Preliminary winners fare better in finals

January 11, 2013 0 Comments

Megan competes in the Lifestyle and Fitness (swimsuit) preliminary on Wednesday.

Herald-Whig Staff Writer David Adam tries to use previous years’ results to project Megan’s chances of making the Top 15, making the Top 5 and even winning the Miss America crown.

OK, it’s impossible to handicap the Miss America pageant unless you’re in Vegas during the week and getting to watch the contestants perform. However, by looking back at scholarship awards given in preliminary competitions since 2003 (2005 awards were not available on the Miss America website), it gives the casual viewer an idea of what could be expected.

Three scholarships are given in preliminary competitions during the week leading up to the pageant in the talent category and the lifestyle/ fitness category.

The facts:

• The woman crowned Miss America each year since 2006 has won a preliminary competition.
• A preliminary talent or lifestyle/fitness winner has placed in the top five 23 times (out of a possible 45 places) since 2003.
• Of the 54 contestants who have won a preliminary talent or lifestyle/fitness scholarship, 37 of them have made the top 15.

The fact that Miss Illinois, Rushville’s Megan Ervin, won the Lifestyle/Fitness preliminary competition on Wednesday night at the Planet Hollywood Resort and Casino in Las Vegas means that her chances of making the top 15, or the top five, or even win the crown, are greatly enhanced.

  • 68.5 percent of preliminary winners have made the final 15 since 2003.
  • 42.5 percent of the preliminary winners have made the final 5 since 2003.

Reporter Robin Leach of the Las Vegas Sun (and yes, also of “The Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous”) called Ervin a “knockout statuesque Miss Illinois” in his rundown of Wednesday’s  preliminaries.

This year’s scholarship winners:

  • Lifestyle/Fitness: Miss Illinois, Miss Washington, Miss South Carolina
  • Talent: Miss North Dakota, Miss Maryland, Miss Oklahoma

2012
Miss America won preliminary talent
First runner-up won preliminary talent
Second runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
Third runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
One of the top 10 won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
(Miss Utah won preliminary lifestyle/fitness but did not make final 15)

2011
Miss America won preliminary talent
Second runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
Fourth runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
One of the top 15 won preliminary talent
(Miss Alabama won preliminary lifestyle/fitness, and Miss North Carolina won preliminary talent, but neither made the final 15)

2010
Miss America won preliminary talent
First runner-up won preliminary talent
One of the top 15 won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
(Miss Michigan won preliminary talent, Miss New York and Miss Puerto Rico won preliminary lifestyle/fitness, but none of them made the final 15)

2009
Miss America won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
First runner-up won preliminary talent
Third runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
One of the top 15 won preliminary talent
(Miss Mississippi won preliminary lifestyle/fitness and Miss Vermont won preliminary talent, and neither made the final 15)

2008
Miss America won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
One of the top 8 won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
One of the top 10 won preliminary talent
(Miss Massachusetts and Miss Connecticut won preliminary talent, Miss Rhode Island won preliminary lifestyle/fitness, and none made the final 16)

2007
Miss America won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
First runner-up won preliminary talent
Two of the top 10 won preliminary talent
One of the top 10 won lifestyle/fitness talent
(Miss Nebraska won preliminary lifestyle/fitness talent and didn’t make the top 16)

2006
Miss America won preliminary talent
Third runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
Fourth runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
One of the top 10 won preliminary talent
(Miss Utah won preliminary lifestyle/fitness, Miss California won preliminary talent, neither made the top 10)

2005
No information available

2004
First runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
Fourth runner-won won preliminary talent
One of the top 10 won preliminary talent
(Miss Florida and Miss Utah won preliminary lifestyle/fitness, Miss Massachusetts won preliminary talent, none of them made the top 10)

2003
First runner-up won preliminary talent
Second runner-up won preliminary talent
Fourth runner-up won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
Two of the top 10 won preliminary lifestyle/fitness
One of the top 10 won preliminary talent

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