Rasmussen Reports conducted a poll Monday that shows Republican Bill Brady with a seven percentage point lead over Democrat Pat Quinn in the race for governor.
The poll of 750 likely voters has a statistical sampling error of plus or minus 4 percent with a 95 percent level of confidence. Its results are bolstered by several other polls that show similar results.
Rasmussen’s breakdown of the poll results shows that Brady does especially well with male respondents, edging Quinn out by 13 percent. The two candidates virtually split the vote among women. Brady is supported by 88 percent of his fellow Republicans and Quinn is favored by 61 percent of his fellow Democrats.
The poll results came out the same day state newspapers reported that Quinn’s budget director, David Vaught, believes the Legislature will pass an income tax increase in January. The Illinois personal income tax rate is 3 percent and could go to 4 percent or 5 percent under proposals made by Quinn during the past two years.
State Rep. Tom Cross, R-Oswego, said such a tax increase would take $6 billion from Illinois taxpayers.
The next poll’s results might favor Brady even more, if people see the tax proposal as Quinn’s plan and if they believe Brady’s argument that the state’s $13 billion deficit can be cured by cuts alone.