A new poll by the Tarrance Group shows Republican challenger Bobby Schilling ahead of U.S. Rep. Phil Hare by a 44-43 margin. The poll’s findings were released by the Republican National Committee this morning.
The only other poll involving the 17th District that has been made public was conducted Sept. 8 by WeAskAmerica. It showed Schilling up 3 percent over Hare. In both instances the results are within the margin of error — denoting a dead heat.
These polls will help determine how much funding Schilling gets from Republican committees in coming weeks. In the same way, they could determine whether Democrats give money to Hare’s campaign to defend what had traditionally been considered a safe seat for the Democrats.
Other poll results are worth mentioning.
Illinois U.S. Senate — Mark Kirk is considered up 2 percent over Alexi Giannoulias after a Pulse Opinion Research poll last weekend. A Rasmussen poll showed Kirk up 3 percent on 9/21, a WeAskAmerica poll showed him up 3 percent on 9/13 and a Chicago Tribune poll showed the race tied in polling done 8/28-9/1.
Missouri U.S. Senate — Roy Blunt is considered up over Robin Carnahan. That comes from Rasmussen’s 8 percent lead for Blunt on 9/21. The Daily KOS/PPP had him up 7 percent 8/14-15, KY3/Missouri State Univ. shows Blunt up 1 percent 8/2-22. The Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon showed Blunt up 6 percent 7/19-21.
Illinois Governor — Bill Brady leads Pat Quinn by 10 percent in last weekend’s Pulse Opinion Research poll. WeAskAmerica showed Brady up 10 percent on 9/13. Rasmussen showed him up 13 percent on 9/12 and Chicago Tribune showed him up 5 percent 8/28-9/1.