When Republican presidential hopeful Michele Bachmann told Iowa audiences a couple of weeks ago that she would get gasoline back down to $2 a gallon, there were a few cheers and a lot of quizzical looks.
Bachmann said by boosting domestic production, she would bring the price of oil down so that gasoline prices would drop.
Several groups and individuals have questioned how a president could do that. Here are a few examples.
Bryan Walsh, writing here for Time Magazine, notes that even if U.S. oil wells produced a half-million barrels more each day, it would not change things much. Oil is an international commodity, and its price is not reliant on the U.S. alone. OPEC could lower its production quotas and erase any gains made by the U.S.
Robert Rapier added his own thoughts on the Oil Drum site, noting that President Bush was not able to keep gasoline under the $2 level, which was surpassed in 2004. Obama has not been able to do it. Neither have other world leaders. How would a President Bachmann gain power that so far has eluded everyone else?
What has not been mentioned as much is that commodities markets contribute to the price of oil. Gasoline fell below $2 per gallon at the end of 2008 due to a financial market collapse and recession. Speculators who previously had access to easy credit were able to make leveraged buys — a fancy way of saying they got loans — when they bought oil futures during the previous few years. Part of what caused gasoline prices to fall from $4 per gallon in July 2008 to less than half that amount at the end of the year was that speculators had gotten burned. In addition, lending institutions didn’t want to offer them money to “gamble” on oil futures.
It also should be noted that the president does not have legislative powers.
Michele Bachmann may be on target with some of her political stances. Her promise to bring gas prices down, isn’t among those.