Remember the 2008 college football season?
At the end of that year, we all knew that either Oklahoma, Texas or Texas Tech deserved to play Florida in the BCS National Championship game. All of those teams had one loss entering bowl season. Determining which of those Big 12 teams was the right team, however, wasn’t easy. Using head-to-head competition didn’t provide any help. Texas beat Oklahoma 45-35 that season but lost to Texas Tech 39-33. Although Oklahoma had the loss to Texas, it murdered Texas Tech 65-21. Oklahoma earned selection to play Florida, and the Gators beat the Sooners 24-14.
That season showed us a couple things: 1. It really doesn’t matter who plays the team from the SEC in the BCS title game, because the SEC will always win. (After that 2008 game, the SEC moved to 4-0 in BCS title games, and it is now 8-1, with the only loss of course coming after this season, when two SEC teams squared off, and the conference’s unbeaten streak in BCS title games had to end.) 2. More importantly, we learned that head-to-head competition doesn’t always provide an answer.
That second point is relevant to this sixth installment of the Topp’s Tips Area Softball Power Rankings. Using head-to-head competition as the only guide, there would be no way to rank these teams. Not that I ever rely solely on head-to-head competition. I also include overall record, strength of schedule, compare results against common opponents, factor in what teams have done since the last rankings appeared and give some weight to the “eye test.”
With all that in mind, here are this week’s rankings:
1. Payson Seymour (24-6) — Last week’s ranking: No. 2
The streak is over.
Since I started doing these rankings near the beginning of the 2011 season, Quincy Notre Dame has always held the No. 1 spot. No more.
The Lady Indians gained the edge, in part, because of their 2-1 win vs. QND on May 3, in which Payson’s Lacey Hagerbaumer legged out an RBI infield single in the bottom of the 10th inning to provide a walk-off win. As previously stated, however, head-to-head competition isn’t the only guide to these rankings. Payson also has played very well lately, and its three losses since April 1 match QND for fewest of any area teams during that time frame. The Lady Indians did fall 2-0 to West Hancock on Saturday, marking their first loss in May. Yet Payson is also the only team in these rankings with a win over every other member of the top five and is 5-1 overall against top-five teams, including two wins over West Hancock earlier in the season.
You also have to like what Payson did within the West Central Conference South Division, winning the conference title with a 13-1 mark in league play.
Pitching and defense continue to fuel Payson’s success. The Lady Indians have allowed more than three runs in a game just four times this season.
Payson certainly could fall from this position, as it hosts a pretty solid Beardstown team Thursday and plays Saturday against Quincy High School, a team it defeated 5-4 earlier this season. For now, however, the Lady Indians have established themselves as the team to beat in the area.
2. Quincy Notre Dame (27-3) — Last week’s ranking: No. 1
This one will make QHS and Illini West fans cringe. After all, the Blue Devils beat QND 4-3 as part of the Lady Raiders’ three-game losing streak. Illini West started that losing streak by beating QND 5-4 on April 30.
But alas, head-to-head competition cannot serve as our only guide. Using head-to-head, Illini West should be No. 2 (it beat QHS 4-0 on April 19), QHS should be No. 3 and QND No. 4, right? Well maybe, but West Hancock beat Illini West 3-1 on April 16 and beat Payson in their most recent matchup, avenging two losses from earlier in the season, so that makes the Titans No. 2, right? Yes, but Illini West beat West Hancock 4-3 on Monday, and QND beat West Hancock 7-4 on April 25. So as I said, head-to-head play only helps us so much.
QND has a couple quality wins against non-area teams that others in these rankings can’t match. The Lady Raiders defeated Alton Marquette, then-ranked No. 2 in Class 2A by the Illinois Coaches Association, 2-0 on Saturday. It was just the second loss of the season for Marquette, a team with a future Division I pitcher in Alexis Silkwood (who has committed to Kansas) that beat Payson 1-0 earlier this season. QND also has that 5-2 win over Benet Academy on its resume. Benet Academy, now 25-4, is No. 5 in Class 4A and beat Payson 13-1 this season. QND also has an 8-4 victory over Rock Island Alleman, a team that swept QHS by a combined score of 23-4.
So the Lady Raiders have plenty of nice wins on their resume, but a 1-3 mark against teams in this top five keeps them from the No. 1 spot this week.
3. Illini West (18-10) — Last week’s ranking: No. 3
The Chargers are 3-2 against other teams in this top-five, with the losses coming to Payson and West Hancock, the latter of which it defeated 4-3 on Monday. Ashley Kerfoot continues to build her case as a clutch player, as she delivered the game-winning RBI in that win against West Hancock. Kerfoot also had the winning RBI against QND.
Still, this team battles inconsistency at times, as evidenced by a 15-6 loss Saturday to Western, a sub-.500 Class 1A team. That loss is puzzling and is one factor preventing the Chargers from being higher in the poll this week. Yet any team that can beat QND, West Hancock and Quincy High School can make noise in the Class 2A postseason.
4. Quincy High School (16-12) — Last week’s ranking: No. 5
This is truly becoming a season to remember for the Blue Devils. Owsley’s three-run double to spark QHS past QND last week won’t be forgotten any time soon by any of the Blue Devil players or their families or friends. QHS won that game despite being outhit by QND 11-4, beating the Lady Raiders for the first time since 2007.
Moreover, QHS is in good position to finish with a winning record for the first time since 2007, and as the No. 2 seed in its own Class 4A regional, has a solid shot at winning a postseason game for the first time since 2007.
The Western Big Six Conference campaign didn’t go as the Blue Devils had hoped, with QHS finishing in fifth place with a 2-8 mark. But let’s be honest, it’s baby steps for a program that has just one WB6 title (1979) and only three regional titles in program history, including one regional title since the 1970s. The way it’s going, this year has to be considered as a step in the right direction.
5. West Hancock (18-7) — Last week’s ranking: No. 4
You want to talk about unfair. You could definitely make the argument that the Titans are getting a raw deal at the No. 5 spot, especially considering they beat Payson 2-0 on Saturday. However, they followed that up with 4-3 losses to West Prairie and Illini West this week.
Much like Illini West, with a little more consistency, the Titans could become really, really dangerous. They certainly are capable of upsetting QND if those teams meet in the championship of the 2A Camp Point Regional.
Last week’s rankings: No. 1 Quincy Notre Dame, No. 2 Payson Seymour, No. 3 Illini West, No. 4 West Hancock, No. 5 Quincy High School.






